Causal analysis finds that changes in temperature have determined changes in carbon dioxide since the Phanerozoic – Is this true of Watt?

from NoTricksZone

Kenneth Richard

It is widely believed that changes in carbon dioxide will lead to temperature changes in the present or the distant past, “which is based on imagination and climate models full of assumptions.”

A comprehensive new study details stochastic estimates of the sequence of carbon dioxide changes and temperature changes since the 1950s, over the past 2000 years (AD), and over the past 541 million years.

The strong conclusion is that the direction of causation—in terms of understanding leading effects and lagging effects—clearly shows that temperature changes lead and CO2 changes lag at annual, decadal, and centennial/millennium scales. In other words, “causation is in the opposite direction” [CO2]→T should be excluded.

Therefore, the claim that increasing carbon dioxide causes temperature changes is just a “narrative” because the claim that humans are responsible for the climate change we are seeing through emissions from the burning of fossil fuels can be considered a “non-scientific” issue . “

Image Source: Kousouyanis, 2024

The authors have published a series of peer-reviewed scientific papers supporting the same T→CO2 conclusion (Koutsoyiannis et al., 2022, Kousouyanis et al., 2020, Koutsoyiannis et al., 2023, Kousouyanis, 2024, Kousouyanis, 2024) just in the last few years.

Because these papers so sharply challenged the prevailing narrative of anthropogenic global warming (AGW), Dr. Kousouyanis naturally encountered an almost vitriolic hostility from AGW proponents. This includes comments from peer reviewers. So, in an effort to increase transparency, he made public the peer reviewers' comments on this latest paper. Here are links to those comments:

Peer reviewer interaction with Koutsoyiannis In “Stochastic Evaluation of Temperature—CO₂ Climatic causation from the Phanerozoic to the present.

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