Looking for assistance: Storyline Developers – Are you happy?

Kip Hansen's Perspective — July 18, 2024 — 650 words/3 minutes

In the spirit of cooperation, I would like to help spread the word Ed “Show Your Stripes” HawkinsThe University of Reading's Climate Crisis Hawks is looking for “a proactive researcher to develop storylines of extreme weather events, including their attribution”.

You see, the first part of the job was developing the storyline of the extreme weather event. You might think that by just he means “making up stories” or “making up stories” to describe extreme weather events and then blaming them on climate change. You may be right.

Extreme weather event storylines are important to the type of climate science done by the Hawkins Department at the University of Reading – providing quotable storylines that attribute extreme weather events to climate change protector and other media outlets keep the university and Hawkins in the news and help bring in research funding.

The postdoc will be mentored in a technique proposed by Hawkins himself:

“The project will develop a reanalysis-based method to translate observed historical and recent extreme weather events into different climates to quantitatively characterize these weather events and their impacts in warmer or cooler counterfactuals. ’ What a difference in the world.

Oh, yes, the “reanalysis-based approach” is based on Hawkins et al. 2023: “ESD Concept: Transforming Historical Extreme Weather Events into a Warmer World.”

Note: “Earth System Dynamics [ESD] – An interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union”.

Here is an example:

“A new reanalysis-based approach is proposed to study how reconstructions of extreme weather events differ in warmer or cooler counterfactual worlds. This approach provides a novel approach Develop a reasonable storyline For certain types of extreme events where other methods may not be suitable. As a proof of concept, a reanalysis of a severe storm that occurred in February 1903 was translated into a warmer world that produced higher wind speeds and more rainfall, suggesting that this storm would have been worse if it had occurred today instead of 120 Years ago, it will be even more destructive.”

and

“Whenever a severe weather event occurs in a particular area causing harmful effects, disaster responders, recovery planners, politicians and journalists often ask whether climate change caused or influenced the event. The harmful effects are caused by abnormal weather, but Climate change may make weather events more likely, more severe, or both. In these cases, harmful effects may be partly or even mostly due to climate change. Severe consequences may be due to the vulnerability or exposure of local populations or ecosystems, or to a combination of many other factors.

This unscientific method is just for “develop Like yes like no story plot” – in short, this is just what the general public, even though they know nothing about the real causes of weather and climate, are willing to accept without question – you see, the storyline only needs Like yes like no:

Seems to make sense – these are Hawkins's words, not mine. The storyline they wanted didn't even have a scientific basis.

Readers may like to read proof of concept Examples from the paper… a masterpiece of model fiddling, carefully selected output from a multi-model run this The operation of supporting one's hypothesis and the evil arrogance associated with pretending that past, present or future climate models output a single, unambiguous and true representation of local single-factor weather characteristics.

But hey, this position pays well: