Following record-breaking Hurricane Beryl, Colorado State University has released an updated version of its 2024 hurricane season forecast. In the updated forecast, meteorologists added numbers related to all-season activity, including named storms and major hurricanes. In its original forecast released in April, Colorado State University projected 23 named storms for the 2024 season. Now, the university says they expect 25 more hurricanes. Not only was the first Hurricane a goal set for the historic 2024 season, but the intensity record was also broken. Berrill rapidly intensified into a Category 5 hurricane earlier than any hurricane in history. NOAA says climate change is a major factor, and before Beryl, the earliest Category 5 hurricane to form was Hurricane Emily, but it didn't form until July 16, 2005. Officials initially predicted five major hurricanes would form during the 2024 hurricane season, but that number has now increased to six. The busy month of June is bringing too much impact this month, with trends pointing to above-normal activity that has the potential to impact the state later in the season. The probability is extremely high, 95%. On average, this number is usually only 86%. There is a 71% chance of a hurricane approaching Florida, and a 40% chance of a Category 3 or above hurricane approaching Florida. Both odds jump to well-above-average numbers. The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring disturbances off the coast of Florida. WATCH: Getting Through the Season | WESH 2's 2024 Hurricane Special >> Click here to read WESH 2's 2024 Hurricane Season Forecast
Following record-breaking Hurricane Beryl, Colorado State University has released an updated version of its 2024 hurricane season forecast.
In the updated forecast, meteorologists added numbers related to all-season activity, including named storms and major hurricanes.
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In its original forecast released in April, Colorado State University projected 23 named storms for the 2024 season. Now, the university says it expects several more 25-year-olds.
So far this season we have seen 3 named storms: Tropical Storm Alberto, Hurricane Beryl, and Tropical Storm Chris.
Hurricane Beryl made history not only as the first hurricane of the 2024 season, but also by breaking intensity records. Beryl quickly intensified into a Category 5 hurricane earlier than any hurricane in history.
related: Hurricane Beryl breaks records. NOAA says climate change is a major cause
Prior to Beryl, the earliest Category 5 hurricane to form was Hurricane Emily, but it did not form until July 16, 2005.
Colorado State University is now calling for at least one more major hurricane this season. Officials initially predicted five major hurricanes would form during the 2024 hurricane season, but that number has now increased to six.
The total number of hurricanes expected this season has also increased, from 11 to 12.
Although Florida was not greatly affected by the busy June, trends indicate above-normal activity that has the potential to impact the state later in the season.
According to the latest forecast data from Colorado State University, the chance of a named storm within 50 miles of Florida is extremely high at 95%. On average, this number is usually only 86%.
The chance of a hurricane within 50 miles of the state has also increased. There is a 71% chance of any hurricane approaching Florida, and a 40% chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane approaching Florida.
Both odds jump to well-above-average numbers.
The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring disturbances off the coast of Florida.
watch: Getting Through the Season | WESH 2 2024 Hurricane Special
>> Click here to read WESH 2’s 2024 hurricane season forecast
