While things continue to stay quiet in the tropics, you'll want to keep an umbrella handy this week.
The good news is that temperatures are expected to drop slightly. As of 6:30 a.m., no heat warning had been issued for Florida.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two tropical waves, one of which is in the Caribbean.
➤ Track all active storms
Tropical moisture could increase rain chances across Florida starting Monday, but the rain won't be organized, according to WeatherTiger chief meteorologist Ryan Truchelut. Saharan dust, high wind shear and other factors are expected to help keep the tropics quiet over the coming days.
The peak of hurricane season is from mid-August to mid-October. If you're low on hurricane supplies or you haven't started your emergency kit yet, Florida's next sales tax holiday (end of August) can help you save money.
Chances of rain increase. No heat warning issued in Florida
According to AccuWeather, much of the Southeast will see at least 2 to 4 inches of rain by the end of the week. This rainfall is associated with air currents from the Gulf of Mexico and southwest Atlantic over the Southeast.
Florida may not get some of the worst rain, but a tropical depression wave is increasing the chance of showers on Tuesday.
“As the tropical wave approaches and moves northwest across the state Sunday into Tuesday, there will be an increase in showers and thunderstorms, some of which may bring flooding,” Alex DaSilva said. Heavy rain, strong wind gusts, and even waterspouts near the beach.
The tropical wave is not expected to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm.
Expected temperature today:
- pensacola: High 87. Isolated showers and storms will develop across much of the region by Monday afternoon. Localized small-scale flooding may occur,
- Tallahassee: High 93. Storms may start early again.
- jacksonville: High 85. Periods of heavy rainfall are possible. Not everyone gets rain.
- Daytona Beach: Maximum 89 degrees. Some storms could be severe, especially those coming from north of Orlando. Wind gusts could reach around 50 mph, with localized rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches.
- Melbourne: Maximum 90 degrees. Today's disturbance will help produce scattered showers and storms. By sunset, persistent showers and storms are possible west of Orlando. Conditions will become drier overnight.
- Port St. Lucie: Maximum 90 degrees. A few showers and storms are still possible along the Treasure Coast overnight into the morning.
- West Palm Beach: Maximum 85 degrees. More than 2 inches of rain is expected this afternoon. Showers and storms are likely to affect the East Coast metro area starting early this morning and continuing into the early morning hours.
- Naples: Maximum 90 degrees. The most intense storms can produce gusty winds, frequent lightning and heavy downpours. Today, localized flooding can become a concern for areas that experience repeated heavy rainfall. The possibility of some waterspouts in local waters cannot be ruled out today.
- Fort Myers: Maximum 91 degrees. The main concerns are frequent lightning, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Storms may develop over South Florida in the late afternoon and move northwest by evening.
- Sarasota: High 92. Lightning, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are all possible. The dust is expected to dissipate Monday into Tuesday. Multiple showers/storms are expected each day this week.
Florida Weather Radar: Track storms moving across state lines
It rained dirty in Florida. Saharan dust helps keep tropical areas quiet
Saharan dust and winds are keeping the tropics quiet for now, but forecasters say that could change.
As rain comes, dust has another impact.
“With large amounts of nearby dust from the Sahara Desert, this week's rainfall will likely appear cloudy and leave residue on exposed surfaces across south and central Florida,” AccuWeather said.
“Favorable conditions for beryl production are likely to return sometime in August, which could lead to continued bursts of hurricane activity,” said Dr. Ryan Truchelut, WeatherTiger chief meteorologist.
“WeatherTiger’s real-time forecast is still about double the normal hurricane season storm activity.”
The next storm this season will be Debbie.
What is NOAA tracking for the Atlantic Basin?
The National Hurricane Center said no tropical cyclone activity is expected in the coming days.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two tropical waves. Here are the latest updates from the NHC as of 2 a.m. July 22:
- Tropical Wave 1: Tropical waves in the Atlantic Ocean are moving westward at 11 to 17 mph.
- Tropical Wave 2: The tropical waves of the Caribbean Sea extend from the southern tip of Florida to the Yucatan Peninsula. It is moving westward at 11 to 17 miles per hour.
Who might be affected?
A tropical wave is expected to bring tropical moisture to Florida through Tuesday.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and stay prepared. This advice is especially important during what is expected to be a very active hurricane season.
When is the next Florida hurricane duty-free supply holiday?
Save on hurricane supplies from August 24th to September 6th.
Can't afford a generator or a few weeks' worth of food? Here are the basics you should know.
Eligible items included in the tax-free holiday include:
- Portable generators, used to provide lighting or communication during power outages or to preserve food, cost $3,000 or less.
- Tarps or other flexible tarps for $100 or less.
- Often sold or advertised as ground anchor systems or tie-down kits for $100 or less.
- Smoke detectors or smoke alarms for $70 or less.
- Fire extinguishers sold for $70 or less.
- Carbon monoxide detectors are on sale for $70 or less.
- Non-electric food coolers selling for $60 or less.
- Portable power banks for $60 or less.
- Gasoline or diesel fuel tanks priced at $50 or less.
- A portable self-powered radio, two-way radio, or weather band radio for $50 or less.
- A pack of AA batteries, AAA batteries, C batteries, D batteries, 6 volt or 9 volt batteries, excluding car and marine batteries, is sold for $50 or less.
- Portable, self-powered light sources (powered by batteries, solar, hand crank or gas) for $40 or less, including: flashlights, lanterns and candles.
- Qualified light sources and radios qualify for the exemption, even if the cord is included with the purchase.
- Reusable ice (ice packs) for $20 or less.
➤ See the full list of items exempt from sales tax, including pet and cleaning supplies
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season lasts from June 1 to November 30.
When is the peak of hurricane season?
The peak of the season is September 10, with the most activity from mid-August to mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
National Hurricane Center Map: What are forecasters looking at now?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:
Interactive map: hurricanes, tropical storms passing near your city
Too much rainfall expected
What's next?
We will continue to update our tropical weather forecast reports daily. Download the local website's app to make sure you're always in the loop with the news. And find our special subscription offers here.
