After a period of relatively quiet weather in the tri-state area, storms are expected to return Thursday, and no matter what happens, you'll want to keep your umbrella handy.
Thankfully, we're not expecting the high temperatures and levels of instability we saw last week, which means the threat of severe weather is much lower.
Latest predictions for Storm Team 4
While severe weather is unlikely, an isolated storm could show enough enthusiasm to trigger one or two stronger thunderstorms at some point. Any sudden weather warnings are likely to be issued due to the threat of damaging straight-line wind gusts. Check here for the latest weather alerts for your community.
Here's the breakdown ahead of the weekend, which does look promising, if not quite warm:
Wednesday
Wednesday will be our wettest day of the week. We will see wider access to showers starting early in the morning and continuing as people make their way to work. Give yourself extra time to drive Wednesday morning.
Expect water on the roads, and have an alternate route or two ready if your commute involves any low-lying or flood-prone streets.
Most of the sustained rainfall will occur south and east of the I-95 corridor, with the heaviest rainfall along the coast.
Showers and storms ending mid-morning. Scattered storms will develop through the afternoon and evening, primarily affecting the Hudson Valley.
Thursday
The final round of storms will continue into Thursday night. This final push comes with a cold front that will finally put an end to our erratic weather pattern.
It would be a nice end to our week: rain-free skies and low humidity.
The Tri-State could certainly use the rain, as much of the region is experiencing unusually dry or moderate drought conditions this summer.
New York City and adjacent counties in the Hudson Valley, New Jersey, and Long Island are officially considered dry, while parts of northern, western, and central New Jersey are in moderate drought.
Looking ahead to the weekend, conditions will be significantly drier as highs warm back into the low 90s. They may stay there until the end of next month.
While it won't be or feel nearly as hot as during the last heat wave, temperatures are still expected to remain above average for at least four to five consecutive days.
So, while it will be hot, it will stay sunny and dry, making for great beach weather. See below for the 10-day weather forecast for New York City.
Use the interactive radar below to track upcoming rainfall.