According to the latest tropical outlook, the National Hurricane Center is tracking four tropical waves.
We are one day away from the official start of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, and no tropical development is expected over the next two days.
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A fourth tropical wave emerged from the hurricane center's tropical discussion Wednesday afternoon.
AccuWeather is tracking areas of the Caribbean with lower tropical development opportunities, possibly June 4-6. Even if the system develops, it is not expected to impact Florida or the United States into the Atlantic Ocean.
The Atlantic hurricane season begins on Saturday, June 1.
The Atlantic basin includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico.
The National Hurricane Center is also tracking three tropical waves on Wednesday, May 29.
What's out there and where are they going?
- Tropical Wave 1: The tropical wave is located in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and extends from the coast of Africa to southern Cape Verde to eastern Cape Verde. It is moving west at 17 mph.
- tropical wave 2: A tropical wave of the Mid-Atlantic Tropical Wave extends from northeastern Brazil to southwest Cape Verde. It is moving westward at 17 to 23 mph.
- Tropical Wave 3: A tropical wave has recently entered the far southeastern Caribbean Sea west of St. Lucia. It is moving west at 17 mph.
- Tropical Wave 4: One of the Western Caribbean Tropical Waves is located between Cancun, Mexico, and Cuba. It is moving westward at 11 to 17 mph.
Who might be affected?
It's too early to determine whether the tropical waves will have any impact on Florida or the United States.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and stay prepared. This advice is especially important during what is expected to be a very active hurricane season.
Florida issues weather watches and warnings
When is the peak of hurricane season?
The peak of the season is September 10, with the most activity from mid-August to mid-October, according to the hurricane center.
NOAA predicts up to 25 named storms in 2024 hurricane season
Aside from two tropical storms – one in southeast Florida earlier this month and another in April – it's been a quiet start to what is expected to be a very active season, with an average of The quantity may be doubled. AccuWeather predicts that 2024 could surpass 2020's record of 30 named storms.
NOAA is forecasting an 85% chance of an above-normal season.
NOAA’s forecast:
- 17-25 Named Storm
- Category 8-13 hurricane
- Category 4-7 hurricane
A major hurricane is a Category 3 or above storm with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph.
Two conditions in the Atlantic basin are responsible for the above-average 2024 hurricane season forecast: La Niña and record warm water. Both contribute to the development of the storm.
National Hurricane Center Map: What are forecasters looking at now?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:
Too much rainfall expected
What's next?
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