Although there are currently no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center is tracking a system in the mid-Atlantic that is showing potential to develop as it approaches the Caribbean Sea.
As of 8 a.m. Sunday, July 28, the National Hurricane Center reported an area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic that was expected to interact with approaching tropical waves over the next few days. Environmental conditions are expected to become favorable for some developments within a day or two, and a non-tropical low may form around midweek when the system is located near or over the northern Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, or the southwest Atlantic.
- The chance of formation within 48 hours is low or close to 0%.
- The 7-day chance of formation is medium or 40%.
In addition, the National Hurricane Center is tracking two tropical waves in the Atlantic basin – which consists of the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
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AccuWeather forecasters said Friday (July 26) that a tropical wave off the coast of Africa has the potential to develop in August, although it faces large expanses of dry air and Saharan dust. Both conditions make it difficult for tropical cyclones to develop and intensify.
According to the latest report from the National Hurricane Center, no tropical disturbance is expected to overcome these conditions in the coming days.
When will we get more tropical storms or hurricanes?
Activity is expected to begin to increase in late July or early August as dry air, Saharan dust and wind shear weaken, and ocean temperatures warm.
Dr Ryan said: “This week a lone tropical wave will be heading west through the dust; it may be worth setting off over the southwest Atlantic starting next weekend if the system leaves any trace after its long journey. or Gulf Area Watch. Trucellute has partnered with USA TODAY NETWORK FLORIDA to provide the latest storm information Florida residents need.
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“As we get closer to the season (August), we tend to see more of these systems forming into tropical depressions, storms, and even hurricanes under the right conditions,” AccuWeather chief hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said.
If the system can survive severe conditions as it continues westward, it could encounter more favorable tropical development conditions near the Caribbean around early August,” said AccuWeather Chief Airborne Meteorologist Bernie Rayno. )explain.
According to AccuWeather, tropical waves may hit the northern Caribbean islands in early August, from the Leeward Islands to some areas of the Greater Antilles.
Despite this lull, forecasters warn that the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is still expected to be extremely active and everyone should prepare before a storm approaches.
The peak of hurricane season is from mid-August to mid-October. If you're low on hurricane supplies or you haven't started your emergency kit yet, Florida's next sales tax holiday (end of August) can help you save money.
National Hurricane Center: Don’t just focus on hurricane cones
The National Hurricane Center's new experimental tropical cyclone forecast cones will be released in mid-August, just in time for the peak of hurricane season.
The new cones will add tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings for inland counties in the storm's path. Current cones only show watches and warnings for coastal counties.
Local National Weather Service offices have provided watches and warnings for inland counties. The new graphic combines tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings into a single graphic.
“We hope it gets people to stop focusing on less reliable tools like the Saffir-Simpson scale. There are more accurate ways to communicate the actual wind impacts in your community and home,” said Jamie Rohm, deputy director of the National Hurricane Center. .
“The Saffir-Simpson Scale doesn't give you an idea of the actual impacts where you live. The Saffir-Simpson Scale tells you peak wind speeds (associated with tropical storms or hurricanes), but that may not be the case in your community. .
“A Category 5 hurricane over Vero Beach doesn't mean there are Category 5 winds all over Vero Beach. That doesn't allow you to infer the impact or threat where you live.” “People misunderstand the local impacts, and some People overestimate the threat, and some people underestimate the threat.”
“Clear wind watches and warnings (for your county) allow you to prepare for tropical storms or hurricanes based on your location.”
The next storm this season will be Debbie.
Florida Weather Radar: Track storms moving across state lines
What is NOAA tracking for the Atlantic Basin?
Tropical Disturbance: An area of weather disturbance in the central tropical Atlantic is expected to interact with approaching tropical waves over the next few days. Environmental conditions are expected to become favorable for some development within a day or two, with a tropical depression likely to form around midweek when the system is near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles, or southwest Atlantic.
- The chance of formation within 48 hours is low or close to 0%.
- The chance of formation within 7 days is moderate or 40%.
What do the colored areas on the NOAA map mean?
The shaded areas on the Tropical Outlook map indicate “areas where tropical cyclones, which could be tropical depressions, tropical storms or hurricanes, may form,” said Jamie Rhome, deputy director of the National Hurricane Center.
The colors clearly indicate how likely the system is to develop, with yellow being a low chance, orange being a medium chance, and red being a high chance.
The National Hurricane Center generally does not issue tropical warnings until a designated storm occurs, with one exception.
“If a system is close to land and has the potential to develop, the National Hurricane Center will not wait to issue an advisory, even if the system has not yet become a true storm. This gives residents time to prepare,” Rohm said.
What else does NOAA track?
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three tropical waves. Here are the latest updates from the NHC as of 2 p.m. July 26:
- Tropical Wave 1: Tropical waves in the eastern Atlantic Ocean are moving westward at 11 to 17 miles per hour.
- Tropical Wave 2: Another tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic Ocean is also moving westward at the same speed (11 to 17 mph).
- Tropical Wave 3: Tropical waves in the central Caribbean Sea are moving westward at 17 to 23 mph.
Who might be affected?
It's too early to tell whether the disturbance across the mid-Atlantic will affect Florida or the U.S.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and stay prepared. This advice is especially important during what is expected to be a very active hurricane season.
When is the next Florida hurricane duty-free supply holiday?
Save on hurricane supplies from August 24th to September 6th.
Can't afford a generator or a few weeks' worth of food? Here are the basics you should know.
Eligible items included in the tax-free holiday include:
- Portable generators, used to provide lighting or communication during power outages or to preserve food, cost $3,000 or less.
- Tarps or other flexible tarps for $100 or less.
- Often sold as ground anchor systems or tie-down kits or often advertised as items priced at $100 or less.
- Smoke detectors or smoke alarms for $70 or less.
- Fire extinguishers sold for $70 or less.
- Carbon monoxide detectors are on sale for $70 or less.
- Non-electric food coolers selling for $60 or less.
- Portable power banks for $60 or less.
- Gasoline or diesel fuel tanks priced at $50 or less.
- A portable self-powered radio, two-way radio, or weather band radio for $50 or less.
- A pack of AA batteries, AAA batteries, C batteries, D batteries, 6 volt or 9 volt batteries, excluding car and marine batteries, sold for $50 or less.
- Portable, self-powered light sources (powered by batteries, solar, hand crank or gas) for $40 or less, including: flashlights, lanterns and candles.
- Qualified light sources and radios qualify for the exemption, even if the cord is included with the purchase.
- Reusable ice (ice packs) for $20 or less.
➤ See the full list of items exempt from sales tax, including pet and cleaning supplies
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season lasts from June 1 to November 30.
When is the peak of hurricane season?
The peak of the season is September 10, with the most activity from mid-August to mid-October, according to the hurricane center.
National Hurricane Center Map: What are forecasters looking at now?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:
Interactive map: hurricanes, tropical storms passing near your city
Too much rainfall expected
What's next?
We will continue to update our tropical weather forecast reports daily. Download the local website's app to make sure you're always in the loop with the news. And find our special subscription offers here.
