from CFACT
Joe Bastardi
Here's Wetherbell.com's summer forecast, and it's going to be pretty close when August ends.
Here are the opening highlights:
- Warmer temperatures are expected over the Rockies.
- A ridge would expand to the west, leaving a weak spot in the southeast before returning to the southern plains.
- Hurricane season should become active.
- Analogies are 2008, 2005, 2017 and 2020.
Here is a summary summary:
West of 100° W, I expect the nation to experience a very hot summer from eastern Texas to the Tennessee Valley, leaving a less warm area that will get a lot of rain this spring. I'm tracking the pattern of the major hurricane strike seasons as well as the El Niño to La Niña seasons. Warming and drying conditions across the West mean there could be a massive wildfire season in late summer and fall after a relatively wet winter of lush vegetation.
As you can see, wildfires are coming, and for good reason. As a result, people become hysterically obsessed with the weather unless they can take advantage of it.
But the weather went exactly according to the overall plan.
Now think about this. I'm a so-called climate denier. To deny climate change you have to be an imbecile, and that's what they're implying, along with the defamatory allusion to the Holocaust. So why any rational person would pay attention to someone who lies like this, labeling someone something that is simply not true, is beyond me. We just question the attribution of carbon dioxide to climate, and the reason they're pushing this has nothing to do with weather. But this would expose their agenda. My partner Joe D Aleo and I are most experienced in looking at this problem from the perspective of climate and past events, which allows us to use the strength of experience to make predictions. Then we are demonized by people who have no idea what is going on (or so it seems from their accounts). Note that in the map above we are making predictions using actual metrics that can be scored against temperature, rather than using probabilities of occurrence like NOAA does. One can't measure probability; it's either 0 or 100, and if it's against standard deviation, it's more complicated. NOAA provides valuable guidance, but it is not an actual forecast.
Regardless, our actual forecast looks very good.
Therefore, it says it will be a very hot summer for the country as a whole. I need August to really pull it out, and I think I'll get it since it hasn't been that hot in the middle of the country so far.
But if you combine this with next month,
It should be very close.
So, it's not surprising, right?
Yet as the summer heats up, the media is filled with shock and awe.
They ignore the fact that with such hot weather, the average 10 hottest days of summer are a population-weighted energy consumer's dream come true.
It's not reported yet, is it?
In the case of wildfires, one of the causes is a cold, wet spring in the West. Summer always gets hotter and drier. Even a wet summer could be caused by some major event, rather than a wet summer like last year in the Northeast. But we know this is going to happen. So we were predicting a severe wildfire season, and here we are, as additional vegetation is depleted and wildfires are caused by humans' common carelessness. But let's put this into perspective. If you want to understand what nature is actually doing, as opposed to alleged human causes, look at the 100-year history of wildfires, not where propagandists would like to make them easy.
Last year was the 13th lowest level on record. It can't be No. 13 this year. The increase you are seeing can easily be attributed to more people being in our woods and the greater opportunities they have to make fires. Furthermore, since the Drought Index takes into account demand, there are 4 times more people in the West than there were in the 1930s, so demand does mean that normal rainfall 50 years ago would not prevent today's drought. Again, the dirty little secret is demand.
But let's look at the sedimentation of the 1920s and 1930s.
Can you imagine if this happened now? The real deniers don't want you to see this.
Now let's look at the past 20 years.
The West is not as dry as it once was. So how is climate change, which now rains more than before, causing the U.S. to be drier? This is due to increased demand, not climate change.
You will find this to be the case in most places that emphasize drying time. John Kerry's Rise of Boko Haram in Nigeria The drought occurred during a very wet 20-year period, a natural response to the multi-decade oscillation of the warm Atlantic, intensified by the current hurricanes predicted 50 years ago by the late Dr. William Gray .
While I'm here, look at the cool, wet weather in Africa in August.
This means that the African wave train will be very powerful and will fit perfectly with the hurricane ideas we published in December.
Looks like Boko Haram is having another drought-free year, huh?
The point is, in a big country, we can go anywhere and find that what happens is not exactly average. In sunshine and lollipops, let us control the world agenda of you people. They are trying to create climate anxiety. There is no such thing. Kamala should be anxious, and given her views on climate, this would be a real thing.
So we're expecting a major hurricane season and it's about to start because we have 4 times the normal amount of accumulated cyclone energy. This week we have a new storm that will likely impact the East Coast August 3-8. But 75% of ACEs occurred after August 15th, and the pattern is aligning as we've seen before. In fact, the overall pattern looks very much like the top 10 impact seasons on the U.S. coast, most recently in 2020. It is also forecast to be a very quiet year for what is usually the world's most active basin – the Pacific as a whole – and a below-normal year globally. Therefore, the Atlantic Ocean fills the gap. Beryl put people around Houston through 7 to 10 hours of hell due to the power outage. We're not surprised. Nine days ago, we said Texas would be the last game, and on our scale, it was a 2. Better estimate impact. Regardless, if (when?) this all manifests itself, the hysteria over climate change will make sure you don't know that counters around the globe, the Buck Basin Big Bang is weaker than in normal seasons.
They do this in everything. CFACT wants me to focus solely on weather and climate, and I respect that. But the agenda of lying, hiding, deceiving, distorting, and delusion is present in every left-wing thought you see today.
I love the weather and climate here. Always has and always will be. I told some of my classmates in high school that I didn't mind at all when I never found a date because I had the weather. I'm lucky in that I'm married with two amazing kids, but if I'd never been married I'd still be having this weather. To me, weather and climate are very different from those who have actually become climate exploiters, twisting the weather for their own purposes. They broke into my house and made a mess of it. So, like anyone, you have to try to stand up to them and kick them out.
There is no room for climate exaggerators in the Weather House.
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