not many people know
Paul Homewood
Climate change is causing a dramatic increase in the frequency of extreme temperatures and the number of temperature records in the UK.
New observational analysis shows that extreme temperatures in the UK are most affected by human-induced climate change. This means the UK is experiencing more frequent hot days on average, creating challenges for infrastructure, health and wellbeing.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2024/Temperature-extremes-and-records-most-affected-by- UK climate change
Remember the Met Office’s recent claim that we’re seeing a dramatic increase in the frequency of extreme temperatures?
As I noted at the time, while we may experience more and more hot days, we will also experience fewer extreme cold days. Therefore, the Met Office's claims are simply untrue.
I now have the opportunity to conduct a comprehensive analysis that will be included in my upcoming GWPF State of the Climate Report.
I took CET daily average temperature data going back to 1961 and extracted the coldest and warmest 5%, i.e. the number of days below the 5th percentile and above the 95th percentile.
As suspected, the number of hottest days has increased, but interestingly, with the exception of 2018, years such as 1975, 1976, 1995 and 2006 have been at similar levels to recent years. The past decade doesn't appear to be much different than the 1990s and 2000s, which suggests we won't see any further significant growth. The final hot days are the result of anticyclonic weather, and the UK's variable temperate climate tends to mitigate long summer heatwaves.
But in addition to an increase in hot days, we're also seeing a sharp decrease in the number of extreme cold days:
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When we combine hot and cold together, there is no trend at all, either up or down:
The most extreme years are 1963, 1976, 1983, 1995, 2010 and 2018.
This analysis is easy to do, so why did the Met Office do something similar in this year's UK climate report?
Instead, they chose to deliberately deceive the public into believing that the weather in the UK was becoming more extreme.
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