from NoTricksZone
Author: Kenneth Richard, August 30, 2024
“Clearly, atmospheric carbon dioxide observations are inconsistent with the climate narrative. On the contrary, they refute it. – Kousouyanis, 2024
for a new researchthe Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) used “inappropriate assumptions and speculation” and “fictitious data” models that are not real-world to claim that carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel burning function “strangely” compared to carbon dioxide molecules in the atmosphere. Carbon dioxide molecules from natural emissions (e.g. plant respiration, ocean exhaust) are more important.
“This ambiguity is accompanied by inappropriate assumptions and speculations, the strangest of which is that the behavior of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere depends on its source, and that carbon dioxide emitted by anthropogenic fossil fuel combustion has a longer residence time than naturally emitted carbon dioxide. “
While the IPCC acknowledges that emissions from natural resources have an atmospheric residence time of only 4 years, they also create model outputs that assert that carbon dioxide molecules produced by fossil fuel emissions remain in the atmosphere for hundreds, thousands, tens of thousands, or even centuries. Year.
According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:
“15% to 40% of the pulse of carbon dioxide emitted [from anthropogenic emissions] Will remain in the atmosphere for more than 1,000 years, 10% to 25% of which will remain for about 10,000 years, and the remainder will be cleared over hundreds of thousands of years.
“Carbon dioxide (CO2) is an extreme example, with a turnover time of only about four years due to rapid exchange between the atmosphere and ocean.”
Likewise, natural carbon dioxide has a residence time of four years, but carbon dioxide molecules caused by burning fossil fuels have a residence time of hundreds of thousands of years. It seems that any result can be derived from imaginary data.
Image source: Kousouyanis, 2024
Rather than relying on models based on assumptions and conjecture, Dr. Koutsoyiannis used a well-established, hydrology-based theoretical framework (Refined Reservoir Routing, or RRR) combined with real-world CO2 observations to robustly derive all CO2 molecules, regardless of their source, have a lifespan of between 3.5 and 4 years.
The applied theoretical results are in good agreement with the empirical results (e.g., the empirical mean for Barrow is 3.91 years and the theoretical mean is 3.94 years, and the empirical and theoretical means for Mauna Loa from 1958 to 2023 are the same, both (3.68 years), and its theoretical framework can be said to be “nearly perfect.” In other words, the consistency of the applied calculations with real-world observations provides strong evidence that carbon dioxide residence times may be close to this range.
By comparison, the model-based claim based on fictitious data (that the residence time of CO2 molecules persists for more than 1,000 years) has a calculated probability of 10⁻⁶⁸, meaning that the probability value is “no different than impossible.”
Image source: Kousouyanis, 2024
The residence time of all CO2 molecules (regardless of source) is only 4 years, which is consistent with the conclusion that nature plays a dominant role in driving changes in CO2 concentrations. Fossil fuel emissions play only a small role.
Since 1750, natural emission sources associated with biological processes have increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations approximately 4.5 times more than fossil fuel emissions (e.g., 22.9 ppm per year from nature versus 5.2 ppm per year from fossil fuel combustion) ppm).
In other words, the observed carbon dioxide data contradicts the climate narrative that anthropogenic fossil fuel burning is driving changes in carbon dioxide concentrations.
Image source: Kousouyanis, 2024
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