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    Home»Climate»Storm èowyn brought the hurricane level to Ireland »Yale's climate contact
    Climate

    Storm èowyn brought the hurricane level to Ireland »Yale's climate contact

    cne4hBy cne4hJanuary 24, 2025No Comments2 Mins Read
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    The same low -pressure system, earlier this week, brought the historic snow to the Gulf coast of Mexico, exacerbated the extremely powerful outdoor whirlwind in the North Atlantic Ocean. Under the international system named such storms in Europe, it was specified as storm éowyn. Éowyn was bucket into Ireland and northern Britain on Friday, January 24, bringing heavy winds, destructive storm trends and extensive power outages.

    The fierce storm brings the highest continuous wind and the highest wind in Ireland. According to reports, the continuous wind with a continuous wind of 135 km/hr (84 mPH) to 183 km/hr (114 miles/h) is between 4 and 5 o'clock local time, on the west coast of central Ireland On the head. According to the Irish Meteorological Administration (MET.IE), the highest air volume in the United States continued at 81 miles/h (131 km/hr). Records set by Limerick.

    动️⚠️ Satellite animation shows the storm #Eowyn Very beautiful and very hollow center (939 HPA), resulting in #VENTS Until 184 km/h, Ireland's new absolute record (before 182 to Limerik in 1945). pic.twitter.com/mxodimygko

    -The weather channel (@lachainemeteo) January 24, 2025

    [1945年在福伊尼斯公司(FoynesCo#Storméowyn pic.twitter.com/9loioz96l4

    – 遇見Éireann(@Meteain) 2025年1月24日

    MACE頭大氣研究站的風在位於海洋邊緣的塔上以10米(約33英尺)的標準觀測高度(約33英尺)測量。該塔僅在2003年安裝,因此在1945年的風暴中,車站可能會測量更強的風。

    持續的10分鐘風為84英里 /小時,是堅固的CAT 1或弱CAT 2颶風的特徵。愛爾蘭和英國報告的損害確實是颶風的特徵,風暴很可能最終成為2025年地球第二十億美元的天氣災難,以及洛杉磯大火。據美聯社報導,在暴風雨的最高點,愛爾蘭至少有725,000名客戶(佔全國顧客的30%)以及北愛爾蘭的近100,000名客戶和蘇格蘭的20,000名客戶被淘汰了電力。

    愛爾蘭的戈爾韋水族館在風暴潮中洪水 #StormeWyn (延時)

    📹水族館經理馬特·霍金斯(Matt Hawkins) pic.twitter.com/gf4vkqfa0k

    – volcaholic🌋(@volcaholic1) 2025年1月24日

    波浪高達66英尺(20.1米)和939 MB的低壓

    當妮絲中心通過頭頂時,在愛爾蘭西北海岸的M4浮標上測量了939 MB(HPA)的中心壓力,並在西南海岸的M3浮標上測量了一些真正的巨浪:峰值顯著波高度的高度41英尺(12.6米)和66英尺(20.1米)的峰值波高度。

    追隨者報告了 @metoffice 今天,Weather Buoy在Kerry的Reenroe Beach Ballinskelligs上洗了 #Storméowyn
    ODA 62似乎在上面打印,有人知道它已被部署在哪裡嗎?感謝Roisin的照片。 pic.twitter.com/naku7jt0sa

    – 卡洛天氣(@carlowweather) 2025年1月24日

    阿蘭群島(Pop。1,300)位於愛爾蘭海岸以西約20公里(12英里)的情況下,首當其衝。由安德魯·肯尼迪(Andrew Kennedy)領導的一支由安德魯·肯尼迪(Andrew Kennedy)領導的巴黎圣母院的科學家在島上的Oceanside Cliffs上安裝了加速度計,以研究大浪對海岸的影響。肯尼迪在一封電子郵件中告訴我,他預計風暴Éowyn的海浪將是巨石的“大動物”,但沒有實時數據。

    圖1。在愛爾蘭的阿蘭群島建立了帶有儀器(加速度計)的巨石,以研究巨石的浪潮傳輸。 (圖片來源:安德魯·肯尼迪)。

    氣候變化和歐洲風暴:高不確定性

    我們可以預期,將來氣候變化會引起幾乎所有類型的風暴的顯著變化,因為正在進行大量變化和大氣循環模式的重大變化。特別是,目前在北大西洋上有唱片的海水可能將額外的能量注入瓦恩,從而增加了風能。

    然而,氣候關聯的變化在大西洋上的冬季冬季旋風(如風暴èowyn)的行為變化很難與自然變異性區分開。最新的IPCC氣候報告說,有“有限的證據”表明已經觀察到了這種變化。這一第六次評估報告於2021年發表,對“觀察到的極限強度在低至中間的距離中變得越來越嚴重,同時在60度的高緯度地區變得越來越嚴重。”他們預測“到本世紀末……冬季北半球中期和高緯度地區與極風相關的室外旋風數量將大大減少,預計的減少在大西洋上會更大,而它將較大,而它將降低。無論南半球本賽季如何,都會顯著增加。”

    最具破壞性的暴風雨可能傾向於向包括不列顛群島在內的北歐轉移,並且隨著氣候溫暖和受歡迎的噴氣流模式向北移動,遠離南歐。一項2024年的建模研究,“北大西洋振蕩的變化在20個Th 世紀,”總結說:“平均而言,我們發現不列顛群島,西歐和斯堪的納維亞半島在未來氣候條件下有冬季風暴損害增加的風險,而多模型合奏預測的中位數平均每年增加+16%,+17%和+13%。我們發現中歐損害的中等減少(-3%),伊比利亞半島(-28%),地中海(-15%)和東歐地區(-35%)地區的損害減少。

    從記錄的墨西哥灣沿岸雪到風暴èowyn

    導致èowyn的天氣模式可以追溯到急劇的上層干擾和較弱的表面較低的表面,該表面與冷乾燥的地面空氣合作,產生了1月21日星期二席捲美國墨西哥灣沿海海岸的大片暴風雪。這種干擾加入了西北大西洋的周三,在周三中周三加入了更廣闊的極地噴氣流,然後變成了一個強大的上部低點,隨著伴隨的表面低點的迅速增強,兩人在1月23日星期四接近愛爾蘭。圖2顯示了四天的時間。在地面天氣特徵(高,低和降水)中發揮作用的演變。

    一系列地圖顯示了風暴橫跨大西洋的運動 一系列地圖顯示了風暴橫跨大西洋的運動
    圖2。表面高(藍色)和低點(紅色)和降水(在綠色中,表示雨水和同等水分中的同等水分),通過GFS預測模型的12Z運行在6小時以18z結束的GFS預測模型進行了分析(美國東部標準時間下午2點)在1月21日至24日星期二,星期三,星期四和星期五(上到底)。 (圖片來源:添加到TropicalTidbits.com的地圖中的註釋。)

    創意共享許可證創意共享許可證

    根據Creative Commons許可免費,在線或印刷中免費重新發布我們的文章。



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