California blown again-Watt?

Willis Eschenbach's guest post

Encouraged by the reception of my previous post “One -eighth of one thousandths“From the enthusiastic acceptance to the scope of completely hostile, I have expanded research to analyze the late California carbon dioxide emissions.

In my post linking above, I found that if IPCC is correct (this is a large “if”), each GIGATON (GT) emitted by CO2 that is avoided can be avoided warming. Please read this post for detailed calculations.

And using this relationship, this is the past and the expected future California carbon dioxide emissions.

Figure 1. California's history and expected emissions, we may avoid warming from the decline in emissions.

Wow! Regarding all our sacrifices in California, we spend all the money and expected money, we may be calm from 0.006 ° C for 20 years … Static, my moved heart …

Now, the number is difficult to get about how much spending and spending. Here are some main costs:

• It is estimated that California Pacific Pacific authorization has authorized the cost of newly built single -house houses by about $ 8,400. About 60,000 new single households are built in California each year. In the next 20 years, about 5 billion US dollars each year, until 2045, totaling $ 10 billion.

• The “renewable authorization” and the roof solar subsidy make the current California power about $ 0.15 higher than its neighboring countries. The average value since 2004 is about $ 0.10 per kilowatt -hour. The annual power consumption of California in 2023 was about 287,220,000 kWh. The cost of 20 years (2025-2045) each year is US $ 700 billion, plus 20 years of 20 years (2004-2024) a total of 1.3 trillion US dollars. This is a completely unrealistic assumption, that is, the cost of consumption or power has not increased.

However, hey, the governor's “green” friend is getting richer and richer … but, I have left the problem …

• Since California's “upper limit and trade plan”, its total revenue is $ 5 billion. The current cost of climate indulgence is about $ 35 per ton. Therefore, if half of the upcoming emissions will be caused by the upper limit and the trading system, it will be $ 110 billion.

• California's ban on gasoline power electrical appliances in new single households came into effect in 2030. It is estimated that the price of new houses will increase by about $ 24,000. There are 60,000 new houses each year, US $ 24,000 per house, and the total cost of 2030-2045 is about $ 22 billion in 15 years.

This is about $ 1.5 trillion, and it does not calculate the cost of laws and regulations related to other carbon dioxide related to other California. The increase in power demand for electric houses and electric vehicles alone will be another huge cost. The $ trillion dollars of taxpayers … All of these may reduce the temperature in 2045 to two -sixths.

Severe. 0.006 ° C.

It is meaningless. No estimated small. Lost noise.

And, please don't say that if only everyone does this, everything will be great. The cost of decreased by 0.006 ° C was 1.5 US dollars, which will make us cost more than $ 2.50 trillion, so that the temperature of 2045 may be reduced by one level … crazy.

I hope this madness can fade, but I am worried that California will be the last person to get a memorandum …

Best

W.

PS-Most people don't know how large the $ 1 trillion is.

Suppose we have a $ 1 trillion. From today, we waste a million dollars every day. In this case, we will waste the last million dollars on October 30th of 4762ad … Of course, we have better things spent one million US dollars a day in the next 27th century. To this end, we can turn the world into heaven …

PPS -When you comment, please quote the exact word you mean. Avoid many misunderstandings.

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