Is the climate alert Stefan Rahmstorf struggling in uncertain reality-Watt?

From notrickszone

From P Gosseelin on February 2, 2025

Amoc quarrel

Frank Bosse

(Translation from the original translation of Klimanachright)

Dear readers, we have always asked you to inform you in time about AMOC conjecture.

Recently, we also tell you a new study that found a stable Atlantic overwhelmed since the 1960s. This is not the only one recently.

However, Professor Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Climate Institute (PIK) is the huge supporter of the collapse of the marine current scene of the collapsed marine current scene. Just in June 2024, he pointed out on X (previously Twitter) that the legend of AMOC relief measures “even more dramatic than ever before.”

He himself is responsible for a series of papers as a writer or co -writer, and these papers have also contributed to this situation. We also reported this.

Of course, if there is no comment, the new discovery cannot pass him. The title “AMOC is slowing down, it is stable, yes, no, no, yes …”, he commented on the blog “real climate”. Schmidt) and others run.

In short, what he must say can be said: he defended his own way and listed the recent research problems. That's it. For example, he emphasized that the new climate model (CMIP 6) has almost no “his fingerprint”, and any connection between the actual current between the sea temperature of the “warm hole” on the North Atlantic Ocean, but the CMIP5, about 4 years old is about DO. He also questioned whether the new things are really more reliable than the old new things. However, the former's efforts are quite large.

He summarized:

I don't think the new method is more reliable than the old method (his author). … However, since we do not have enough measurement value, there are still some uncertainty in this regardMowing“

This is the crux of the problem! He “does not believe” with honor, but scientific knowledge may be more enough! Yes, everything is uncertain, “there is no precise popularity.”

The famous marine scholar Carl Wunsch also pointed out in a paper published in August 2022:

In the next decades, the entire coupled ocean-atmosphere must be continuously monitored to evaluate the real risks of AMOC collapse, but so far No evidence shows the danger of urgent or overwhelmingEssence “

There are many assumptions in science. There are many back and forth in science. In the case of one day, there are many “beliefs” or “non -faith”, that is, clear signs of lack of knowledge.

Therefore, when you (dear readers) told the reader again in the news magazine, “If things are not good, the danger that is about to occur for decades” (see here) or here: “The heating of Europe is weakening, “: Be careful, people are pretending that” certainty “does not exist at all. As I said, this is not impossible about hypothetical, belief or non -faith.

Professor RAHMSTORF is also anxious to say: “The Bay Stream System is failed”, not the “Mexico Bay Stream System” that can “some extent, somewhere, somewhere” stalls, northern branches, AMOC may be stable or no, or whether (Yes) According to his own blog title).

Image: generated by KNMI climate explorer.

Due to the measurement before 2004, AMOC is still in a good health today. These are the actual “difficult facts”.

We should eventually stop scaring the Play in the Atlantic Ocean, and it is an enlightened citizen like you, dear readers.

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