The panic of the “collapsed bay flow” came back-and Vatt?

Ah, the Atlantic Nuwa Circle (AMOC) collapse-our old friend. Just like the terrorist film operating rights that refuse to die, the idea of ​​the Gulf flow is about to close and Europe has returned to the cold enlightenment of Europe. This time, the Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) couldn't get angry, warning that “the chance of this situation is growing.” However, before you start weaving surviving wool socks, let's spend some time reviewing the number of stories we heard before, and why it seems to never surface.

Climate disaster … one day, maybe, maybe

According to the BBC, AMOC is said to be “weaker and weaker”, but they immediately admit that the direct measurement is performed since 2004, which means that we only have the actual data of 20 years. Now, I call me old -fashioned, but when you talk about a marine system that has been running for millions of years, data for 20 years of data is like trying to predict a person's entire life based on a Tuesday morning.

What is their big evidence? The “cold spots” of the bottom of the sea and the Atlantic Ocean. That's right, they are watching dirt samples and water, they are not as warming like other oceans. In some way, they should explain bad luck for civilization.

If they admit uncertainty, this is not bad. Instead, the game of this article “may not happen, but it is okay!” For example, IPCC said that they have “medium confidence” about AMOC's “medium confidence” no This century collapsed. But some other scientists say, maybe CanWhen one of the warnings, we “may need to worry.”

What kind of science is this? It sounds more like a constellation, not a serious climate analysis.

Fear 101: Each climate panic is the last one

This is really interesting. This article includes a terrible warning that “even the most likely situation” may lead to catastrophic storms and cold European winter. But for decades, we have not been told that global warming should become winter warmthIntersection How many times we heard how many times on the Alps will become the past? Now, suddenly, Britain will fall into the Arctic conditions.

This is a one-to-one special ultimate climate fear: no matter what happens-hot girl, cold, humid, more dry-all climate change, this is your fault.

Of course, this is not the first time we have heard these predictions. The same panic suddenly appeared The second day of the next day (2004), based on the theory of bouncing for decades before that. In 2015, similar claims became headline news, and later scientists later admitted that the jury is still “jury is still not there”, that is, whether AMOC is really slowing down.

Then, just last month, a new study showed that for this reason, the North Atlantic current was actually stable. Therefore, although there are guessing at the end of the world, the evidence in the real world does not exist.

Real agenda: reduce emissions, no matter what the cost is

At the end of the article, we reached the real point. Scientists insist that the only way to “reduce these risks” is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Yes-Whether the earth is warming or cooling, whether AMOC is accelerating or slowing down, the answer is always the same: more regulations, more taxes, and more restrictions on energy use.

It seems that the climate narrative is not really science at all, but about controlling human activities.

Conclusion: No, Britain will not freeze quickly

If the historical record is any guide, the latest AMOC panic will soon disappear, just like all previous intimidation. Then, a few years later, another group of scientists will “discover” the same threat again, and the cycle will be repeated.

Therefore, before you panic, you can buy the firewood and start with the firewood, please remember: the climate ending forecast is like a bad fashion trend-they always come back, but they never fulfill their promises.

ht/darren k

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