Eric Worrall's paper
Professor Mike Hulme: “…a lot of work will be done to reconstruct the narrative…”
From the very beginning, is the world's most influential climate goal doomed to fail?
As the world warms through 1.5 degrees, Cambridge scholars believe that deadlines on climate action are the wrong way.
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A new pair of studies in the journal Nature Climate Change, which examines historical data, concluded that last year’s record heat (the first year above 1.5 degrees Celsius) was not temporary fluorine, but showed that the world is now, long-term surpassing This influential climate goal. The new year continues this upward trajectory. Even though a recent natural cooling pattern called LaNiña was held, January was hotter than ever, at a record 1.75 degrees Celsius higher than the pre-industrial average.
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…So, the world is now on the verge of disaster?
Mike Hulme, professor of human geography at the University of Cambridge, asserts that it is not. “There is no 'cliff edge' from any scientific analysis performed on these thresholds,” he said. “In many senses, they are just arbitrary numbers because they are integers or half of integers.”
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Of course, what will happen is: “Well, if the 1.5 is now in the rearview mirror, what is in the front mirror now?” A lot of work will be done to reconstruct narratives for those who think 1.5 is all and ultimately. Now, if 1.5 is no longer the benchmark, it is necessary to do a very important job in re-educating and restructure the reality of the future.
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Read more: https://grist.org/language/world-climate-target-doomed-mike-hulme-deadlines/
The Grist article is long, so it covers a lot of the basics not mentioned in the quote above.
However, the accidental arrival of 1.5 degrees Celsius warming, lack of any accompanying climate disaster, could accelerate the demise of climate movement.
Because unlike the global cooling panic in the 1970s, the Internet age has a rich digital record of how alarmists try to make people with “arbitrary numbers” (like 1.5C global warming).
I look forward to enriching the “reconstructing narrative” attempt by replaying a lot of ridiculous 1.5c intimidation movement materials.
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