Recent political articles, “Climate change threatens the survival of the EU, warns the German security report,” claiming: “Global warming will intensify global conflicts, conflicts between hunger and immigration, and risks to Europe are growing.” [emphasis, links added]
The evidence undermines these claims.
In fact, as Politico briefly mentioned, the world has not suffered from destabilization of climate change due to climate change, but the European population is more likely to suffer from climate policy.
Politico reported a “landmark” political report from the German Federal Intelligence Agency (BND) that sought to assess the “hazards that climate change poses to German and European security over the next 15 years”.
The report concluded that “the instability of climate change will drive immigration and food prices, threaten economic and political unrest” and “The inequality impact of rising EU temperatures – the southern countries hit harder than others, and may break up the group.”
Politico continues to claim that as the global average temperature rises, “same is the frequency, severity and intensity of extreme rainfall, deadly heat waves, drought that destroys harvests and conditions that allow wildfires to spread easily.”
These claims are wrong, as evidenced by the available data.
Despite increased rainfall in the northern latitudes, whereas the northern latitudes contain EU member states, Extreme rainfall that caused the flood did not occur.
What claims that the recent flood events were “pressurized” or worsened by climate change is pure speculation based on attribution modeling. Data and historical records of flood frequency and severity are unprecedented claims of flooding.
For example, recent floods in Spain are attributed to climate change by attributive groups, but the storms hit by Spain are consistent with a long history of storms similar to that of storms that have not become more severe or frequent.
exist Climate Realism Post, “Facts of flooding with climate hysteria: BBC ignores Spain’s weather history,” meteorologists Anthony Watts and H. Sterling Burnett describe the history of the flood-hit areas:
Valencia sits at the mouth of the Turia River in the Mediterranean, for example, before the warmth of 127, 67, 67 and 28 years ago , the temperature was cooler at that time. Compared to the present.
…
As Caroline Angus revealed about the 1957 Valencia Flood, these conditions are neither new nor unprecedented. The BBC focuses on “climate change” and warmer atmospheres, the main reason for recent flooding, overlooking the atmospheric mechanics behind these storms and downplaying recurrence patterns similar to natural events.
Similarly, Climate Realism Other European regional flood events are exposed here.
Heat waves and droughts will not worsenand contradictory politics and the German report's claims, Due to these conditions, crop production in Europe has not declinedsuch as many Climate Realism For example, posts here, posts here and posts here.
Wildfires are also declining worldwide.
Interestingly, Politico and Germany’s report does acknowledge that government responses to climate alertness could also lead to tensions.
Politico reported that policies aimed at addressing climate change “will cause tensions, pointing out that carbon pricing, the backbone of EU climate efforts, will have a disproportionate impact on poor households.” This fact should be obvious to anyone.
Carbon pricing won't bother the elite who can afford higher energy prices.
Politico and the report authors also warn: “The cost of decarbonization and its (perceived) unfair distribution…provides space for populism, right-wing and left-wing extremism, and disinformation movements[.]transparent
Extreme weather won't worsen, but in the name of climate change, the impact of government overextension and taxation is.
The claim should be taken further, as it has caused tensions and has contributed to an increasing threat to European food supply, leading to large-scale protests by farmers in multiple countries.
Not only that, it is not a view of unfair distribution of costs, it is a fact. Beyond the carbon tax, The push for electric vehicles is a subsidy for luxury products that most people cannot afford.
London's “ultra-low emission zone” (Ulez) is a tax on the poor who cannot buy new electric or low-launch hybrids.
The same is true of Europe's impact on crop yields for other major crop production parts in the world, so climate change is not driven, nor is it possible to drive large-scale migrations that could destabilize Europe.
Climate realism debunks the claim that climate change is here, here and here has caused mass migration in multiple posts.
If politicians and German leaders worry about “populism” and the sympathy of the right in their country for fear of mass immigration in unstable areas of the world, then perhaps [the government] There may be restrictions on immigration without blaming climate change.
It is shameful that Politico and the German government underestimated the harm of unnecessary, unreasonable climate policies they supported to Europeans.
Extreme weather won't worsen, but in the name of climate change, the impact of government overextension and taxation is.
Read more in Climate Realism