How to stop being surprised by extreme weather? Stop making it climate. – Watt?

From Weather is not climate unless we say it is The department and the University of Reading press release is about an Inane study that attempts to link tree rings to bad weather while ignoring warning fatigue.

How to Stop Being Amazed by Extreme Weather – Research

Helping the community predict extreme weather events that have never been recorded in modern history are published in Natural Communication.

The University of Reading and other international organizations’ teams of Climate Adaptation Services Foundation have brought together methods to transcend the limitations of traditional weather records, often covering only the last century.

The study reveals how nature’s own archives (such as tree rings) combined with forgotten historical documents, for example, unlocks hundreds of years of climate data that modern instruments miss.

“We have been limiting extreme weather for a long time, only the bad we have measured since the weather station was invented. But our research shows that we can use weather models to look back at what is really possible in our climate system for hundreds or even thousands of years,” said lead author Timo Kelder.

Toolkit for scientists and practitioners

The researchers identified four methods to create possible extreme weather:

●Analyze routine records

●Research historical and natural archives (such as tree rings)

●Create “what assumptions” scheme based on past events

●Use climate models to simulate the possible extremes of physics

Tree rings proved particularly valuable, each retaining a year of climate history. The researchers used these natural time capsules to reconstruct a 850-year drought pattern in northwestern China, revealing extreme events that could have been invisible in modern records.

The team also highlighted the forgotten weather extremes by digging out historical archives. They found that in June 1846 in Durham, England, the temperature was much hotter than any modern June. Similarly, the wetness at Oxford in September 1774 was wetter than any month recorded in the next 250 years.

Adapt, adapt, adapt

The study highlights that by predicting invisible methods, communities can better prepare for unprecedented weather. These methods can support three-layer preparation:

● Improved early warning system

●Upgraded infrastructure

●Change social changes to reduce vulnerability

The researchers concluded that by moving away from the limitations of limited modern records, we can eventually stop being surprised by “unprecedented” weather events.

Dorothy Heinrich, co-author of the University of Reading, said: “Unprecedented weather not only breaks records, it can destroy communities, infrastructure and lives. When unimaginable happens, it is a disaster to not be prepared.

If you want to read this study, here is the study: How to Stop Being Amazed by the Weather

Abstract

We see unprecedented weather, causing widespread impacts around the world. From this perspective, we provide an overview of methods that help anticipate unprecedented weather hazards that may lead to no longer being surprised. We then discuss disaster management and climate adaptation practices, their gaps, and how predicting unprecedented weather may help build resilience. We stimulate the thinking of transformative adaptation as the basis for long-term resilience to unprecedented weather and gradually adapt by upgrading existing infrastructure and support reactive adaptation through short-term early action and disaster response. Because in the end, we should be responsible for building resilience, not being surprised by unprecedented weather.

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