this Associated Press (AP) recently published an article titled “From deluges to drought, climate change accelerates the water cycle, triggering more extreme weather.” This article is wrong. [emphasis, links added]
Evidence shows that the data does not show changes in extreme weather trends, which is not related to climate change.
“For decades, scientists have warned that rising global temperatures will allow water cycles to juice, leading to storms, more severe droughts and a chaotic change between the two,” the Associated Press article said.
This tired telescope assumes climate change drives individual weather events, which is actually repeatedly refuted in rebuttal Climate realism.
Check the actual data blows the AP's extreme weather “juicing” fantasy faster than the house of cards in the storm.
Let's start with the flood. For example, Climate Realism The article “No, Reuters, climate change has not increased the impact of flooding” quotes Noaa's historical flood records, proving that these events have been wiped out and flowed naturally for centuries – before SUVs roam the earth.
Then there is drought.
A glance at the climate: Drought lists the US Palmer drought severity index. Despite the rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), there has been no long-term trend in the past 120 years.
Intergovernmental groups on climate change, often the top choice for climate alerters, even admit that they have less confidence in transferring extreme weather to human CO2 emissions, which is nuanced. Seattle Timeswhich brings the Associated Press story to skip conveniently.
But that doesn't stop there. The Associated Press' obsession with the El Niño phenomenon and the “juicing” water cycle on natural climate drivers such as La Niña has masked thousands of years of weather fluctuations.
Strong evidence comes from “variability of El Niño/Southern oscillation activity in the Holocene millennial time standard”, published in nature.
This study analyzed 10,000 years of sediment records to reconstruct Holocene variability (last approximately 11,700 years).
The study found that El Niño and La Niña (ENSO) events (markers of change with precipitation and sediment deposition) occurred for at least 10,000 years, and their frequency and intensity fluctuated naturally over decades and centuries.
“The variability of ENSO has been a persistent feature of the tropical Pacific climate system throughout the Holocene,” said the study's authors. They associate these cycles with a large number of weather fluctuations, such as from wet conditions to dry conditions.
this Seattle Times The Associated Press article cannot be critically republished. What about the wet and wet cycles of the Pacific Northwest to Seattle?
Historical Records – 2011 National Academy of Sciences conference record titled “Drought Variability in the Pacific Northwest from 6,000 Years of Lake Sediment Records” Analyzing the sediment core of Castor Lake, Washington, reconstructing the 6,000 Years of Flood/drought/drought history in the Pacific Northwest.
It found that the cycle of wet and dryness fluctuates naturally over thousands of years, lasting decades of drying periods, driven primarily by natural climate patterns such as Elniño/LaNiña.
Back to the Associated Press article, it also claims:
The ocean absorbs most of the extra heat of the Earth. This causes water to expand and melt at the poles, thereby increasing sea level. Warm water also fuels larger hurricanes and cyclones that can dump large amounts of water in a short period of time.
These claims are easily refuted.
Data presented in the climate are clear at a glance: hurricanes have proved that global cyclone activity has remained stable without fingerprints of climate change.
Moreover, before “climate change”, sea levels naturally gradually rose.
Other data suggest that Wilder swing in extreme weather occurred in the early 20th century, before, such as the dustproof bowl in the 1930s, with much lower CO2 levels than they are currently.
The floods of the past dwarfed many modern events, like the devastating Green Valley floods of 1911 or the huge floods of Mississippi in 1927, should we believe this is completely new?
The Associated Press also overlooked the truth of inconvenience, such as improving infrastructure, better forecasts and improved warning systems that reduced weather-related deaths by more than 90% in the last century.
A 2021 World Health Organization report confirmed that the death toll from extreme weather has dropped sharply.
“Based on improved early warning and disaster management, The death toll has dropped almost three times,” WMO report.
Next to the donation button next to the article above the AP is: “The Associated Press sets the standards for political reporting. Support independent, fact-based news. ”
However, there is evidence to clearly show that although the AP is based on an unproven, vague expert claim to “juicing” water cycle, this [news] The agency ignores government research and peer-reviewed reports undermine such conclusions.
For example, NASA's Global Precipitation Climate Project examines global precipitation trends and determines that current variability is within historical norms; there is no water cycle juice.
also, Climate Realism Dozens of articles have been published citing real-world data that suggests Neither the wildfire, hurricane, or tornado trends have worsened, and have responded less to claimed climate changefor example, here, here and here.
“Based on facts?” hardly any, because AP usually ignores data that is easily discovered on the hills, which destroys the world facing a climate crisis. Sad to such news story APs.
The fourth estate should be informed rather than indoctrinated. In this story, AP gets a “F” for false reports.
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