In a May 23 article “Climate change could bring insect-borne tropical diseases to the UK,” scientists warned. guardian Asserted that rising global temperatures have made the UK more hospitality to diseases such as dengue fever, West Nile virus and tropical mosquito-borne diseases such as Chikengunia. [emphasis, links added]
This claim is a lie.
England's climate has always been suitable for mosquitoes that have centuries, and malaria is often called “Ague” or “March Fever” and is unique to England even in the Little Ice Age from the 15th to 19th centuries.
With the drainage of wetlands and improved housing, it was greatly eliminated in the 20th century. Furthermore, a thorough examination of existing scientific evidence shows While climate can play a role in the spread of mosquito-borne diseases, the actual drivers of disease transmission are mainly human movement, infrastructure, health and public health responses rather than minor warming trends.
“Climate change may leave Britain vulnerable to tropical diseases that were previously found in hot countries,” scientists warned, urging ministers to redouble their efforts to curb their spread abroad.” guardianobviously unaware that malaria and other mosquito marital diseases were common throughout history in England until recently.
guardian The article relies heavily on speculative forecasts about future climate conditions, citing cited experts The worst emission scenario (Temperatures rise to 4–5°C) and suggest that “climate change is making the UK more hospitalized” to mosquito carriers.
However, even those quoted, such as Dr. Robert Jones of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, admitted that “[w]E is unlikely to see a huge surge in tropical diseases. ” This observation destroys guardianThe entire climate alarmist framework of the story.
The article also acknowledges that currently there is no human transmission of the West Nile virus in the UK and that the necessary mosquito vectors (e.g., Egypt Egypt and Ades White Pupictus) Insufficient amounts to pose a significant risk. This key fact contradicts the title and premise of the article.
This is not the first time mainstream media has made wild, unproven claims about climate change and mosquito-borne diseases. Climate Realism This narrative has been repeatedly exposed:
■Mainstream Media Error: Climate change is not spreading malaria to new places – suggesting that the presence and emergence of malaria in places like Florida is caused by human factors and poor carrier control, rather than warming.
■ Stop the spread of malaria (The Washington Post) – highlights the fact that the decline in malaria in Europe and the United States occurs before massive warming due to infrastructure and mosquito control.
■CNN hyped false dengue claims – exposing CNN's unsupported claims that dengue has soared due to the climate despite the lack of carrier expansion.
■ Environmental Daily on Climate Change Increases Malaria’s Spread – Refutes the false assumption that climate change is now driving diseases that once were common in temperate areas.
Science shows that the existence and transmission of modern vector-borne diseases is more like the function of public health rupture than any change in climate.
As Paul Reiter points out in the journal Environmental Health Perspective, Carrier diseases such as dengue and malaria flourished centuries ago in temperate Europe, eradicated due to modern sanitation and mosquito control rather than falling temperatures.
Regarding dengue, today's spread is closely related to global trade and travel, especially through used tires and transport containers that contain mosquitoes, as described above Natural microbiology,,,,, June 2019.
In this study, the authors wrote:
“[t]The main drivers of global transmission of dengue and Eders mosquitoes have been Increasing urbanization, international trade (e.g., the use of tires and plants) and human movement, not just climate change.transparent
Importantly, temperature threshold alone will not establish mosquito populations. They are a necessary but not sufficient condition for mosquitoes to flourish.
According to the second paper in 2019 Natural microbiologyFactors such as rainfall patterns, water storage behavior and urban development are equally or more decisive. Focusing solely on temperature can create situations where excessively simple and often misleading disease risk prediction, the study warns.
It emphasizes that mosquitoes require both appropriate climatic conditions and specific environmental characteristics, especially stagnant water sources, which are often artificially created.
Climate at a glance: Malaria concisely refutes the claim that climate change is driving mosquito-borne disease outbreaks. Data suggest that malaria has dropped sharply in the latest global warming over the past century and is expected to be completely eliminated sometime after 2040.
Please refer to the map below economist Titled “Shrinking Malaria Map”.
This story is just an example guardian It is an irrational trend extrapolation of trends based on extreme models predicted, while ignoring the epidemiological evidence and historical context in the real world.
It is wrong to suggest that “long-term net zero policy” is our best protection for mosquito-borne diseases.
Direct interventions, such as clearing stagnant pools, wise use of pesticides and preventive drugs, and the potential release of genetically modified sterile mosquitoes, are more effective interventions to prevent current and future mosquitoes-Netheran disease, rather than cutting fossil fuels at future temperatures.
Tropical diseases do not lurk outside the UK windows to wait for a warm day, but are controlled through policies, infrastructure and targeted disease vector management.
For publications that focus on science, guardian Continuing to betray this trust and radical journalism is masked as evidence-based reports. If they want to inform rather than incite, they will do a great job, start with the facts and give up their fear.
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