Forbes A post titled “You need to know about climate change in 2025” said global warming is causing an increase in severe weather conditions around the world, and is sourced from NASA. [emphasis, links added]
This is wrong.
The data did not indicate that bad weather became worse or more common. Computer models just predict it may.
After a very mild introduction, it was necessary to “a new American narrative talk about climate change”, Forbes Make this set of claims:
Global warming has consequences for the weather. According to NASA, global warming “is affecting extreme weather throughout the planet. In land and oceans, record-breaking heat waves, rainstorms, severe flooding, years of drought, extreme wildfires and widespread flooding during hurricanes have become increasingly frequent and intense.” If global warming continues, these effects will be even more severe, such as rising sea levels, which could put many US cities underwater by 2050. The year 2050 is often cited by those who study climate change, trying to anticipate its effects and how to mitigate and adapt to global warming. The general scientific consensus is that in order to avoid the most serious consequences of global warming, the temperature rise should be kept to around 2°C or 3.6°F by 2050.
By definition, climate change has an impact on weather. Climate is a statistical structure based on weather patterns over a certain period of time (usually 30 years).
However, the data collected and disclosed by NASA itself does not support what NASA Declaration Fobes is cited.
this [excerpt above] Six weather-related threats and sea level rise were mentioned.
Although it was hot in 2023 and 2024, largely due to the impact of natural El Niño on the Pacific, there is a lot of uncertainty as to whether the number and severity of heat waves are indeed increasing.
From the view of the bird's eye, you can see the number of days above 95 degrees in the United States. Days have declined rather than increased in most parts of the country.
Data sets from the national climate assessment show that most of the changes in average temperatures are driven by “very cold” days falling and rising night temperatures. (Please refer to the picture below)
Warm night temperatures are particularly interesting because it suggests that the urban heat island effect is a factor affecting temperature readings recorded by surface stations, as described Climate Realism Guest post.
With regard to rainwater and flooding, this is once again too blurry and widely claims to be really step-by-step, as the increase in flooding can mean something from one place to another, such as the increase in urbanization and the problem of local water treatment.
IPCC does not predict that even under the most extreme climate modeling schemes, any flood signal will appear in 2050 or 2100.
Indeed, the northern hemisphere, especially in the mid-latitude areas, seems to have higher average precipitation.
However, this is discussed here Climate Realism postal, The United Nations Intergovernmental Group on Climate Change (IPCC) did not link precipitation to floods, saying there was no connection from the data.
Similarly, IPCC did not predict that even under the most extreme climate modeling schemes, any flood signal will appear in 2050 or 2100.
Paradoxically, Forbes NASA's assertions are also cited that years-long droughts have become increasingly frequent and intense, but the data specifically refutes this claim.
Over the past few years, the media has claimed to have suffered unprecedented droughts, but every time historical data proved these claims to be false, suggesting that droughts in the media are more severe and more persistent droughts have already occurred before modern warming, but historical data proved these claims to be false.
For example, here are some different locations Climate Realism Discussion: Here is the Amazon, here is the American West, here is the Horn of Africa.
Finally, we arrived at the wildfire, which is a particularly confusing claim from NASA, considering its dataset on global wildfires show a decline in global combustion zones since the early 2000s, as mentioned earlier Climate Realism here.
The European Space Agency also recorded and reported the decline in wildfires worldwide. (Please refer to the picture below)
Regarding the flood caused by hurricanes, as the data clearly indicate that the number or severity of hurricanes or the number of tropical storms has not increased, so in the warmth of the last century, Claiming that hurricane changes lead to more flooding is misleading.
As various experts and scientists in the field have pointed out, it takes longer to try to determine whether the recent storm lasts on land or not.
Yes, human habitation and landscape changes can exacerbate flooding, mainly due to changes in infrastructure and land use. Poor water management, displacement wetlands, increased groundwater pumping and increased impermeable surfaces result in flooding due to rainfall.
Attributing to climate change is unnecessary, this claim is often entirely dependent on many climate modeling based on many doubtful built-in assumptions rather than real-world data and trends.
Regarding the flooding issue, the IPCC once again found that flooding (surface water) related to precipitation has not changed.
Climate Realism Complex issues regarding sea level rise are introduced here and here many times, such as some examples. The ocean is rising, but not at an unusual pace in history. Any increase in coastal flooding is due to land compaction and sinking, groundwater evacuation and harmful development.
It's too late Forbes The article by its author acknowledges that climate issues are “an extremely complex issue and have become highly politicized in the United States” and “as to how serious the problem is now, what differences will be in the future, and how many people responsible for handling it and the costs of dealing with it and the responsibilities of dealing with it and what to deal with it.”
Gone are the certainty that the article depicts early on, and that's right.
The positive debate about the causes and consequences of climate change is right, the author is right, and everyone must decide for themselves to take the threat seriously and respond appropriately.
all in all Forbes Outside of the false confidence of the projection, the work is very vague and harmless [about increasing severe weather events] According to some claims made by NASA, the authors cite authority.
What they say is more frequent and severe, and is not actually doing so, at least if people believe in the available historical and modern data.
although Forbes' Writers and editors may feel disagree with their claims cited from NASA, and they should at least have news integrity to ask the right questions and check the available data themselves.
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