For years, the deadliest flash floods in the nation hit the Guadeloupe River, one of Texas's major holiday recreation areas, earlier Friday, July 4. A wall swept away vehicles and campers and piled up campgrounds on Friday’s hour near Sunrise and caused a heart-warming tragedy on Friday. According to the Associated Press, at least 27 people died as of noon on Saturday, including nine children. Many others are still missing, including 27 people from Mystic camp, a summer camp that has been operating along the Guadeloupe River for nearly a century.
Floods were facilitated by heavy rains from the thunderstorm complex, which was developed overnight near the most intense areas of the west of Texas Hill Country and in the western region. The area is notorious for its devastating flash flooding, as tropical moisture can easily spread throughout the solid terrain from the Gulf of Mexico. Hill Country is located west of the Austin and San Antonio metropolitan areas.
Remaining moisture from tropical storm Barry moved to Mexico's northeast coast with tropical depression on Sunday, drifting north to southwestern Texas in a few days. The weaker residual cycle continues to absorb sufficient lower water from the onshore coast of western Mexico into southern Texas. By Thursday night, it appeared to have been covered by a lot of high-rise moisture in the Eastern Pacific. CDT fired the balloon-borne radiation sound from Del Rio, Texas at 7 a.m., indicating that the amount of water in the atmosphere (cumulative water) is the fourth highest of sounds in two more than 70 years.
Many studies have confirmed that artificially induced climate change makes the heaviest short-term rainfall events more intense, mainly by heating the world's oceans, thereby allowing more water vapor to enter the atmosphere, thereby promoting heavy rain events. The average of sea surface temperatures in the Western Gulf and the Caribbean in early July was 1°F, but the average of the central Gulf was as high as 1°F. According to the climate change index of climate centers, the long-term human-induced warming is 10 times more likely than the latter.
The National Weather Service fully anticipated the threat of heavy rain in the Western Hill country, although it was precisely pointed out that where such strong local storms would form several hours ahead of schedule may be difficult to achieve.
- Flood observations were issued Thursday at 1:18 p.m. New Braunfels in New Braunfels, Texas, face part of eight counties, including HardIt Hit Hit Kerr County.
- Flood warnings were issued at 1:14 a.m. Friday at 1:14 a.m.
- A flash flood emergency was issued at 5:34 a.m. Friday at a location along the Guadeloupe River, noting that “the automatic rain gauge indicates that a large and deadly flood wave is moving along the Guadalupe River. Flash floods have already occurred.”
- It's unclear all-night warnings or how to give people the most risky people – a classic “last mile problem”.
The radar at the center of the storm indicates a ten-inch rainfall, comparable to the 24-hour rainfall event in the mountains. (For example, in the town of Kerrville near the worst flood losses, the town of Kerrville received 11.60 inches on August 2, 1978. In addition, these storms seem almost ideal to bring destructive flooding to the north and south forks of the Guadeloupe River, which converges in the town of Hunter. The Mystic Guadeloupe River Camp is located on the south fork of Guadeloupe, just upstream of that fusion point.
Friday’s storm left a weaker but well-defined cycle, with the upper layer known as the mesoscale convective vortex or MCV. The next night, the vortex could last and trigger other storms, which is exactly what happened: It was reported that rain was 8-12 inches northwest of Austin (about 50 miles north of Friday’s flood disaster). According to local authorities quoted by KXAN-TV, another flash flood emergency was issued in the early hours of Saturday and at least two deaths were reported.
Chantal becomes the third storm in the Atlantic Ocean called 2025
Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings flew across much of the South Carolina and North Carolina coast on Saturday, with Tropical Storm Chantal crawling northward towards the expected Sunday landing. Chantal was a few hundred miles south of the South Carolina coast on Saturday, July 5 at 8 a.m. The usual date for the first hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean is August 11. The formation of Chantal results in a warm sea surface temperature of 29 degrees Celsius (84°F), which is about one degree above average Fahrenheit.
On Saturday, July 5, 2pm EST, Chantal is approximately 180 miles (300 kilometers) in Wilmington, North Carolina, with a maximum sustained wind of 45 mph (75 km/h) and a central pressure of 1006 MB, and a northbound 3 mph.
Predict Chantal
Moderate wind shears from 10-20 knots from the strong upper winds in the southwest should prevent Chantal from becoming very strong, and on Sunday mornings the storm had limited time before landing. NHC predicts that Chantal's wind will peak at a peak of 50 mph (80 km/h) at login.
Chantal's main impact will come from two to four inches of heavy rain and one to three feet of storm surge flooding, which could lead to minor flooding in North Carolina. Dangerous tearing currents will also be a threat to the Carolina coast.
One of the first three name storms of this season is very weak one or two punches
Chantal is destined to be the third brief residence of the season, called Storm. Chantal followed closely behind two undernourished tropical storms: Andrea formed in the remote central Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores on June 24, while Barry formed near Tampico, Mexico on June 29. Chantal may last less than 36 hours. According to Hurricane scientist Michael Lowry, Andrea and Barry have a 0.6 anemic 0.6 on accumulated cyclone energy or ace, “never have had the first two storms of the season in the modern record (at least since 1950), resulting in such little activity, and neither the accumulated cyclone energy nor the ace are measured.” Now, here is the record we hope to continue seeing!
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