Today’s forecast:
The chance of showers will increase this afternoon. Although the chance of rain increases after 1pm, your chance of encountering a shower or storm is still only 30%. Highs will be in the low 90s. If you don’t see the storm, you’ll feel the heat. The storm should taper off after sunset.
Sunday weather forecast:
The chance of storms increases Sunday. Storms will become more common due to hot weather. We will start to see the effects of the next cold front into Sunday night.
The front will stall:
The front is expected to stall over Southeast Texas, increasing the chance of rain over the weekend. I'm not canceling any plans for this weekend, but I know you need to check your radar before you go.
Heavy rain is likely next week:
Once we get into next week, we're going to see a pretty stormy pattern for most of the week. A second cold front will move into the state and bring more rounds of heavy rain.
This front will also stall/hover for most of the week and allow smaller disturbances to bring multiple waves of rain to the area throughout the week. Rainfall totals could increase by 4-5 inches over the next 6-7 days.
Track the tropics:
There is no tropical activity in the Gulf, Caribbean Sea or Atlantic Ocean. Saharan dust is severe across much of the tropical Atlantic, making things very quiet.
Another factor that keeps the tropics quiet are the vast dust deposits of the Sahara Desert, which help suppress the development of tropical waves at this time.
10-day forecast:
We'll remain in this active storm pattern through next week. Increased rainfall means cooler than normal temperatures. 95° is our average for this time of year.
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